As has become the the norm lately I’m fashionably late with my predictions post so this will be just a quickie. Again we’re set for a weekend with the threat of rain looming in the background but it could just as well be crazy hot this weekend in Hungary. The Mclaren already looked strong in Hockenheim but was hampered by again struggling in a wet quali. The Ferrari is a top car now but perhaps not quite the best one yet, while it remains to be seen how hard the bulls will be hit by yet another rule ‘clarification’.
Mercedes are horrible managing their tyres, and added to the high temps they will probably struggle like hell again in this race. Lotus is definitely the dark horse with Kimi seemingly finally having fully found his stride and Grosjean capable of some fine drives on his day I would not count them out. Their car also seems to work best when it’s nice and hot outside so this could be a great chance for them.
I think clear favourite for the pole should be Hamilton. He’s been top in practice, he’s pissed off after three bad races and finally seems really happy with the upgrades brought to the car and how they affect its behaviour, therefore I’m taking the stupidly boring prediction of a Hamilton pole. Alonso is a master around Hungary so I believe he will come p2, to be followed home by Webber, for whom this is also a fairly happy hunting ground for him to take the edge over Vettel in quali again this season (it would make the score 6-5 for Webbo – who would have thought that last year!)
Further down I don’t think the Saubers will be as strong as in the last race, but Mercs drop in performance will still see them finish well, same for the Force India’s who’ll be fighting the Mercs for the final points. Seeing as I got a bit of a theme going on looking at past performances at the track, I’m injecting another major dose of #PERRRRKELE into this post saying Heikki will get to Q2 AND score the first points for Caterham. After all it was the scene of his first win back in his Mclaren days.
On to the front runners’ race, I think we will be on for a thriller but it will be more a tactical one. It will be hard to overtake, as running in dirty air on this track in particular give you terminal understeer in the constant twisty sections and just destroys your tyres. Hamilton hasn’t been making particularly good starts lately ( while incidentally, Webber seems to have at long last mastered his horrible starting problems) and Alonso is a beast off the line so it will be tight into T1. However having the clean line from pole will allow Lewis to just pip Alonso into T1. They will fight very hard throughout and that will allow a sneaky Raikkonen to recover early on from another disappointing quali to be right on them in the final stint. In a shock battle Kimi will vanquish all while Lewis will get outsmarted by Alonso for P2.
To round up:
Cucumber: Pastor. Senna will beat him in quali and he’ll get all Venezuelan mob on his ass.