Dear friends of backmarkers F1, with great sadness I can bring you the very last in this year’s predictions madness, after this weekend all that’s left is to go hibernate in a cave until the February tests. But of course, let’s not allow this shocking realization to dull our enjoyment of this weekend’s Brazilian GP and come up with some crazy predictions shall we. Somehow I couldn’t find last year’s race on my hardrive but if memory serves it was just a pretty boring Red Bull dominated procession with Vettel taking it home in front of Webbo, while team orders should have probably favored Webber at that point, and the Bulls clinching the constructors title. Aside from that it’s all just a blur, but to me yesterday evening is as well so that may not be so surprising.
As for this year, Mclaren is still repeating the sad trend since 2009 where they finish the season with a car that’s on race winning pace. This is always too little, too late, and the story of Whitmarsh saying that ‘next year we’ll be competitive from the start’ is getting quite repetitive. It’s also a little early to really speak of a Hamilton revival, since let’s face it, had Vettel not suffered a puncture chances are he could have very will run away with it in Abu Dhabi as per usual.
Those things aside, Mclaren should be strong again, and I really hope we can finish the season with a bang, as a taste for what hopefully will be next year’s showdown between 2 – or maybe 3 if Ferrari get their thumbs out of their asses and stop talking bullshit about an aggressive car which they say every year- roughly equal cars from season start. I want Webbo to be up there with a chance for the win – he won’t win it, but I want him to at least look like he might win it beyond the first stint.
I expect another classic Hammy-Button fight, given some extra punch by Whitmarsh’s strange comments lately, and whoever comes out on top of that one will then take it to the champ in some balls to the wall racing on the great Interlagos track. Early weather predictions indicate a fairly dry qualifying but a strong possibility for storms on Sunday so we may be in for a corker. With all that in mind, I’m again going to predict my main man Button to come out on top, in front of Hamilton and Webber, with Vettel making a mistake that drops him down the field and end his magnificent season on a low note.
While up front pretty much everything of import is done and dusted – though I guess some people are interested who will be first of the losers in 2nd place – the fight in the midfield will have a very tight ending. Renault is probably out in the clear for 5th thanks only to their early season double podiums, though a surprise result from both FIs could still see them get overhauled but it’s a long shot indeed with 15 points to make up. Still, 5th and 6th is all the FIs need to jump the Renaults provided they don’t score themselves. It is possible if the front runners get into some trouble and with the Interlagos weather notoriously unpredictable that isn’t entirely out of the question.
Sadly, I do not believe it will happen, as Senna will find some of his uncle’s magic on this legendary track to nab enough points to stave off the FI and possible also Grosjean for next year’s seat. Petrov will end up in the trees somewhere while Sutil will complete his final race for FI with a solid drive in the rain to finish 6th after Massa dn Rosberg punt each other off and Schumi spins in Turn 3, ruining his chances to finish the season ahead of Rosberg in the standings. With this drive Sutil will jump Heidfeld and Petrov in the WDC standings – he’s currently only 2 points behind Petrov and equaled with Heidfeld- to finish 9th. Di Resta will fail to bring home the bacon after a long fight with Senna.
The battle is even tighter between the STRs and the Saubers, with Kamui’s 10th place in Abu Dhabi just barely giving the edge to the Swiss team. If no one of the 4 drivers score in Brazil, this could very well be the most expensive point in f1 as it would secure 7th for Sauber. Further back I’d love to see Lotus score at least a point this season so I’m going all out and predict Heikki for 10th in a rainsoaked crazy race. Buemi is almost guaranteed to lose the teammate war but it’s mostly some very bad luck which got him in this situation. Perez could even overhaul him as the young Mexican is only 1 point behind, but for all his skill in the dry, his first laps in Hungary made me worry about his wet weather skills as he dropped some 10 places in 1 lap without sustaining damage or contact which could explain this spectacular drop.
As for the recap